Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.566725 32.955310 37.711731 43.239404 49.475845 56.282956 64.264063
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.150823 27.218066 34.434153 43.597867 54.868330 68.216403 85.155664
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 16.752681 23.531834 32.210253 44.016682 59.523708 79.044774 105.301900
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.789775 19.419942 28.475180 41.551116 59.714788 83.782129 117.753482
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.079094 17.957670 27.871382 42.904257 64.754274 94.916292 139.145200
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.987396 17.153879 27.983370 45.118654 71.014909 108.031562 164.088613
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.360852 15.230147 26.117653 44.090923 72.318875 114.068153 179.297979
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.852014 13.230839 23.826476 42.054752 71.764064 117.158476 190.214014
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.468495 13.083781 24.487418 44.750331 78.740133 131.994545 219.663840
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.336705 13.357799 25.864688 48.727670 88.053142 151.020978 256.724427
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.723563 12.633686 25.398491 49.472432 92.030390 161.799879 281.415601
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.071900 11.729521 24.485964 49.305233 94.387766 170.032214 302.425428
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.330187 10.563918 23.015896 48.109712 95.097753 176.002978 320.875923
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.809857 9.786901 22.212344 48.103600 97.994559 186.002088 346.982036
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.396487 9.171389 21.645379 48.477711 101.600986 197.462821 376.328137
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.779836 7.960033 19.661090 45.774258 99.105775 197.868473 386.346652
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.574865 7.710906 19.711911 47.245298 104.796069 213.438119 424.245370
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.455106 7.656814 20.187661 49.656438 112.535236 233.268691 470.994961
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.120818 6.966324 19.099756 48.537057 112.990691 239.394227 492.849006
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.772074 6.157454 17.605537 46.318848 110.929162 240.493990 505.281558
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.733145 6.240785 18.320671 49.255161 120.056370 264.005961 561.663371
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.758718 6.524447 19.577597 53.584696 132.516029 294.822143 633.678414
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.617611 6.261286 19.379412 54.395030 137.280004 310.434218 676.814597